I want you to give me a detailled analysis on the probability of outcomes for these soccer games: XXX (date)
For each you have to take into account all the basics things we look for when trying to find the winner of a game plus some specifics that I want you to explain for each game:
- Each team’s current injury and players health, number of games they played in a row to account for tiredness
- the victories vs defeat streak they have
- which of them is deemed favorite by other people
- also take into account the importance of said game for each team (for example a team might have in half points in the league that they do not care about winning this specific game)
- Also look for specific clues in each of the key players current lives that could indicate that they will not played at their best. (Recent problems, scandals, breakups, justice issue etc..)
- Take into account the predicted weather for that day and the impact it could have on both teams performances
- When looking at the current odds for each outcomes look for inconsistency and point them out (example a team is giving winner on most sportsbook but your research tends to find the other team victorious)
- Take into account also the defensive stability of each team
- Travel (Have the teams been traveling a lot which could give some fatigue)
- Pythagorean expectation on those games
At the end of your response give me a table that will summarize your findings for each game with predicted outcome (In percentage for win/loose/draw) and how the factors above makes you think those results are correct Finally - The goal of this analysis is to profit from those bets, point to a strategy that will maximize profit and lower the risk for all those games (You can choose to bet on every game or just a few or none if none stands out)